Italian Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (3 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS) / Italian): 15
Defender wins (Partisan): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-08-24 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2008-11-13 | Won |
| 1041 | 901 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1095.7 vs 983.7 has a 65.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).