The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (5 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1251 | 1013 | 80% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1139 | 830 | 86% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1139 | 40% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1082 | 46% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1128.8 vs 1018.4 has a 65.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).