The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (5 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1017 | 79% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1241 | 847 | 91% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1128 | 41% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1107 | 46% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1041 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1154 vs 1028 has a 67.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).