Legio Patria Nostra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (56 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 86
Defender wins (German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Free French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1014 | 51% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 987 | 1310 | 13% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 987 | 1310 | 13% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 931 | 1014 | 38% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 911 | 64% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1005 | 54% | 2024-01-20 | Won |
| 1246 | 1014 | 79% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 972 | 62% | 2023-06-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1134 | 49% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 1059 | 41% | 2022-09-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1049 | 982 | 60% | 2022-02-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 974 | 57% | 2021-12-14 | Won |
| 1137 | 1126 | 52% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 978 | 1009 | 46% | 2020-12-24 | Won |
| 996 | 971 | 54% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 996 | 1006 | 49% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1006 | 69% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 837 | 982 | 30% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1192 | 1017 | 73% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1255 | 18% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1174 | 26% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 885 | 837 | 57% | 2020-09-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1163 | 27% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 908 | 888 | 53% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1062 | 1165 | 36% | 2019-10-26 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1144 | 50% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1014 | 64% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 961 | 931 | 54% | 2017-03-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 732 | 70% | 2017-03-12 | Won |
| 881 | 901 | 47% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-10-18 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-03-22 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-19 | Won |
| 938 | 1014 | 39% | 2012-10-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 986 | 56% | 2012-10-13 | Won |
| 972 | 1040 | 40% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 984 | 46% | 2011-06-23 | Won |
| 938 | 1014 | 39% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 983 | 944 | 56% | 2010-10-20 | Won |
| 1012 | 992 | 53% | 2010-06-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-12-15 | Won |
| 913 | 1215 | 15% | 2009-03-18 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-20 | Won |
| 931 | 969 | 45% | 2008-01-25 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1012 | 49% | 2007-11-18 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
Attacking (38 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1027 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).