Ambitious Assault
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 181 (85 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 46
Defender wins (Italian): 131
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (British/American): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-05-31 | Lost |
| 938 | 1062 | 33% | 2026-04-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2026-04-07 | Lost |
| 1062 | 938 | 67% | 2026-03-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 979 | 52% | 2025-01-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2024-10-18 | Lost |
| 970 | 1098 | 32% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 979 | 1289 | 14% | 2023-07-24 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 1067 | 54% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1013 | 62% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 1003 | 37% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1013 | 1098 | 38% | 2022-07-19 | Won |
| 948 | 1098 | 30% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1098 | 66% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 961 | 1026 | 41% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 974 | 54% | 2021-05-02 | Won |
| 1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1027 | 52% | 2021-02-01 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1016 | 67% | 2020-11-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1036 | 44% | 2020-10-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1210 | 986 | 78% | 2020-07-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-02-11 | Lost |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1173 | 39% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1217 | 77% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 1172 | 25% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1100 | 60% | 2019-07-13 | Lost |
| 1123 | 945 | 74% | 2019-07-02 | Won |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2019-05-06 | Won |
| 929 | 950 | 47% | 2018-09-16 | Won |
| 985 | 974 | 52% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1119 | 51% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 1098 | 37% | 2017-02-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 894 | 75% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 879 | 78% | 2016-07-27 | Tied |
| 879 | 869 | 51% | 2016-07-05 | Lost |
| 926 | 881 | 56% | 2016-07-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 964 | 49% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1139 | 41% | 2016-05-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1164 | 43% | 2015-08-13 | Won |
| 1112 | 1173 | 41% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2015-07-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 991 | 65% | 2015-07-07 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1431 | 17% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1166 | 60% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1098 | 37% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 971 | 1060 | 37% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1098 | 37% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1087 | 56% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1212 | 51% | 2013-01-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1098 | 30% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-02-14 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1233 | 37% | 2011-02-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2010-06-23 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1135 | 64% | 2009-10-22 | Won |
| 921 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-07-28 | Won |
| 921 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-07-28 | Won |
| 946 | 951 | 49% | 2009-07-12 | Lost |
| 921 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-05-13 | Lost |
| 921 | 1098 | 27% | 2009-05-13 | Lost |
| 942 | 906 | 55% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1188 | 23% | 2007-12-22 | Lost |
| 957 | 983 | 46% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1188 | 1083 | 65% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
| 1253 | 983 | 83% | 2006-11-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1107 | 40% | 2006-08-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1160 | 45% | 2006-08-05 | Lost |
| 943 | 1085 | 31% | 2006-07-24 | Lost |
| 943 | 1011 | 40% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1054 | 51% | 2005-09-30 | Won |
| 890 | 978 | 38% | 2005-07-01 | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1061.8 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).