The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (6 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 56
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2014-09-30 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1134 | 74% | 2004-06-30 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 944 | 67% | 1998-10-11 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 1998-01-10 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1092.8 vs 1045.7 has a 56.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).