Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (30 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 986 | 40% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 932 | 941 | 49% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1063 | 49% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1225 | 941 | 84% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 858 | 1008 | 30% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1181 | 38% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1049 | 949 | 64% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 993 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1140 | 1072 | 60% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1071 | 59% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 897 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1174 | 54% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 972 | 1001 | 46% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 970 | 67% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1046 | 57% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1072 | 35% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1060 | 89% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1423 | 1157 | 82% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1044 | 48% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1100 | 74% | 1999-05-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 941 | 62% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1026.6 has a 56.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).