Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (27 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 984 | 40% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 1054 | 936 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 939 | 919 | 53% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 908 | 936 | 46% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 992 | 919 | 60% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 877 | 970 | 37% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1110 | 1178 | 40% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 902 | 73% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 947 | 64% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 897 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1154 | 46% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1120 | 979 | 69% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 1005 | 66% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1004 | 1056 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1073 | 87% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1400 | 1082 | 86% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1046 | 53% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 939 | 70% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1017.4 has a 55.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).