Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 433 (51 on the archive and 382 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 228
Defender wins (German (SS)): 205
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
864 | 995 | 32% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
1023 | 1002 | 53% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
996 | 966 | 54% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
996 | 966 | 54% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1009 | 1039 | 46% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
1134 | 1189 | 42% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
1006 | 1233 | 21% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
913 | 925 | 48% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
998 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
964 | 1121 | 29% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
1149 | 1075 | 60% | 2018-11-18 | Won |
1002 | 1023 | 47% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1134 | 45% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
988 | 1118 | 32% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
972 | 1056 | 38% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
972 | 894 | 61% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
1065 | 1066 | 50% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
1038 | 942 | 63% | 2015-05-25 | Lost |
1048 | 1002 | 57% | 2014-06-07 | Won |
951 | 988 | 45% | 2013-11-12 | Won |
916 | 1118 | 24% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
889 | 956 | 40% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
1209 | 967 | 80% | 2013-03-24 | Won |
948 | 931 | 52% | 2013-02-22 | Lost |
967 | 1141 | 27% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
1098 | 927 | 73% | 2011-04-02 | Won |
1149 | 1088 | 59% | 2009-09-14 | Lost |
1115 | 988 | 68% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2009-01-27 | Lost |
1074 | 1141 | 40% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
1137 | 1084 | 58% | 2008-08-10 | Lost |
1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
1091 | 983 | 65% | 2008-05-04 | Lost |
1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
966 | 1098 | 32% | 2008-04-05 | Lost |
1052 | 1218 | 28% | 2007-07-08 | Lost |
1056 | 1021 | 55% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
966 | 955 | 52% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
974 | 966 | 51% | 2005-04-23 | Lost |
1056 | 1086 | 46% | 2005-01-21 | Won |
1228 | 1153 | 61% | 2004-04-27 | Won |
1021 | 911 | 65% | 2003-10-23 | Lost |
947 | 1098 | 30% | 2003-04-26 | Lost |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
1010 | 1055 | 44% | 2000-11-26 | Lost |
1109 | 978 | 68% | 2000-07-29 | Won |
962 | 1122 | 28% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
962 | 1122 | 28% | 1998-03-25 | Lost |
1109 | 1225 | 34% | 1995-10-11 | Lost |
1124 | 881 | 80% | 1993-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 1042.5 has a 48.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).