The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (2 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 50
Defender wins (German): 80
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
998 | 1110 | 34% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1096.5 has a 43.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).