The Hedgehog of Piepsk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (3 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 79
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1001 | 67% | 2026-05-10 | Won |
| 1117 | 1081 | 55% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1058 | 39% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1075.7 vs 1046.7 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).