Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (15 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 969 | 57% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1134 | 961 | 73% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1119 | 1025 | 63% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1018 | 52% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1144 | 939 | 76% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 998 | 54% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 998 | 54% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 984 | 69% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1219 | 28% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1056 | 72% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1344 | 19% | 2004-01-30 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2003-08-05 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1053.7 has a 52.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).