Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1114 | 952 | 72% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1018 | 55% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1090 | 980 | 65% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 982 | 60% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1053 | 982 | 60% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1067 | 50% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 984 | 68% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1274 | 22% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2003-08-05 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1039.8 has a 53.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).