Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1119 | 54% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 938 | 1014 | 39% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 1116 | 35% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1100 | 46% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1276 | 1015 | 82% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1035 | 1084 | 43% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 889 | 927 | 45% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 944 | 1054 | 35% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1051 | 44% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 889 | 969 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1067 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 1154 | 25% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1120 | 1116 | 51% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 946 | 931 | 52% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 991 | 55% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1018.6 has a 48.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).