The Paw of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (11 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2026-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2026-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-06-02 | | Won |
| 1150 | 980 | 73% | 2021-05-10 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-08-16 | | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2020-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1183 | 26% | 2020-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2015-10-24 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2008-11-09 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996 vs 1083.8 has a 37.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).