The Coconut Plantation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (9 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1303 | 1173 | 68% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 963 | 61% | 2011-05-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1127 | 41% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1198 | 45% | 2006-09-25 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1225 | 963 | 82% | 2005-10-28 | Lost |
| 969 | 1018 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1099.2 vs 1068.2 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).