Makin Taken
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (21 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-03-27 | Won |
| 1283 | 950 | 87% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1041 | 57% | 2023-06-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1039 | 54% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 982 | 780 | 76% | 2022-09-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1036 | 46% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1177 | 34% | 2015-09-02 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1180 | 61% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1157 | 41% | 2012-08-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 694 | 89% | 2011-05-21 | Won |
| 1036 | 1103 | 40% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1197 | 1173 | 53% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1259 | 25% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1035 | 55% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1008 | 79% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1054.1 has a 53.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).