Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (10 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 26
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 930 | 948 | 47% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 894 | 1071 | 27% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1161 | 16% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 994 | 46% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1055.9 has a 45.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).