The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (15 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 38
Defender wins (French): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1177 | 1033 | 70% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1067 | 39% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 1037 | 53% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 942 | 1029 | 38% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 890 | 1007 | 34% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 756 | 82% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 1085 | 1092 | 49% | 2005-09-11 | Won |
| 1233 | 1174 | 58% | 2004-05-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1138 | 35% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1150 | 55% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2002-12-29 | Lost |
| 900 | 1037 | 31% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1083 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1050.9 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).