The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (18 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (French): 49
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1170 | 1038 | 68% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 930 | 53% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1080 | 49% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1263 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1313 | 43% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1003 | 58% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 943 | 974 | 46% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 890 | 1006 | 34% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1015 | 756 | 82% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1092 | 33% | 2005-09-11 | Won |
| 1234 | 1159 | 61% | 2004-05-01 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1263 | 45% | 2004-04-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1141 | 35% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1220 | 44% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2002-12-29 | Lost |
| 900 | 1003 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1078.5 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).