The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (18 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (French): 49
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1224 | 1035 | 75% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1081 | 42% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 1263 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1303 | 44% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1027 | 54% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 941 | 1024 | 38% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 891 | 1008 | 34% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1015 | 757 | 82% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 1041 | 1092 | 43% | 2005-09-11 | Won |
| 1234 | 1173 | 59% | 2004-05-01 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1263 | 45% | 2004-04-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1140 | 35% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1180 | 50% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2002-12-29 | Lost |
| 900 | 1027 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1032 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1085.8 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).