Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 63
Defender wins (German): 78
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2025-09-05 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 933 | 62% | 2022-04-21 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | | Won |
| 932 | 1133 | 24% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1142 | 32% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2020-08-11 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2020-03-17 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1150 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-02-24 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-07-14 | | Won |
| 1011 | 986 | 54% | 2017-05-08 | | Won |
| 1059 | 990 | 60% | 2015-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2012-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2012-04-13 | | Won |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2010-08-01 | | Won |
| 986 | 1061 | 39% | 2009-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2006-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2006-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2004-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2004-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1122 | 59% | 2002-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 991 | 78% | 2002-07-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2002-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2001-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-08-21 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2000-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1036.4 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).