Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1024 | 46% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 914 | 70% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1048 | 69% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 1099 | 48% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 940 | 982 | 44% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1003 | 49% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1083 | 882 | 76% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1113 | 53% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 984 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 931 | 53% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 1129 | 28% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 939 | 1142 | 24% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1069 | 1003 | 59% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1075 | 1069 | 51% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1082 | 36% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 861 | 74% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 966 | 1008 | 44% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1033 | 62% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1098 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 893 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1100 | 50% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1148 | 46% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1031 | 75% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 911 | 1129 | 22% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1035.7 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).