The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (17 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1024 | 53% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1067 | 36% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 1022 | 40% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1026 | 51% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1170 | 45% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 1051 | 57% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2003-06-28 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2003-06-05 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1066.5 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).