The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 116 (23 on the archive and 93 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1069 | 46% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1092 | 39% | 2024-07-31 | Won |
| 1081 | 1014 | 60% | 2023-06-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2023-06-27 | Won |
| 980 | 1052 | 40% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1021 | 1081 | 41% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 919 | 888 | 54% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-27 | Lost |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1077 | 47% | 2017-09-11 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1191 | 48% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1198 | 47% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1180 | 964 | 78% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 941 | 73% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1083 | 63% | 2008-04-12 | Won |
| 1107 | 1173 | 41% | 2005-10-08 | Tied |
| 1263 | 982 | 83% | 2003-06-28 | Won |
| 982 | 927 | 58% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 927 | 1003 | 39% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1140 | 32% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1033.2 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).