The Slaughterhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 207 (34 on the archive and 173 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 85
Defender wins (German): 122
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 964 | 73% | 2025-04-14 | | Won |
| 780 | 949 | 27% | 2024-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2022-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2021-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2020-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2020-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2015-02-15 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2015-01-21 | | Won |
| 961 | 904 | 58% | 2014-06-19 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1101 | 37% | 2013-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2013-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1140 | 36% | 2011-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1003 | 68% | 2011-04-23 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1219 | 19% | 2008-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2007-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2005-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2005-08-28 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1056 | 33% | 2005-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2005-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2004-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2004-05-16 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-03-09 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2002-04-18 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2002-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2002-02-08 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-04-29 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
| 780 | 1086 | 15% | | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1033.4 has a 53.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).