The Slaughterhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 207 (34 on the archive and 173 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 85
Defender wins (German): 122
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 964 | 77% | 2025-04-14 | Won |
| 779 | 996 | 22% | 2024-03-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1026 | 51% | 2022-12-18 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1266 | 56% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1094 | 977 | 66% | 2020-12-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1102 | 53% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1144 | 939 | 76% | 2015-02-15 | Won |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2015-01-21 | Won |
| 961 | 965 | 49% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1031 | 58% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1101 | 48% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-06-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1003 | 69% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1219 | 19% | 2008-08-05 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1127 | 40% | 2007-01-03 | Won |
| 1076 | 1175 | 36% | 2005-11-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1048 | 54% | 2005-08-28 | Lost |
| 933 | 1056 | 33% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1159 | 43% | 2005-05-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1048 | 56% | 2004-07-11 | Won |
| 875 | 907 | 45% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
| 1101 | 613 | 94% | 2003-03-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2002-04-18 | Won |
| 1006 | 1342 | 13% | 2002-02-14 | Lost |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 2002-02-08 | Won |
| 1342 | 1094 | 81% | 2002-01-13 | Lost |
| 939 | 1101 | 28% | 2000-04-29 | Won |
| 1342 | 1009 | 87% | 2000-01-25 | Lost |
| 1079 | 847 | 79% | | Won |
| 779 | 1079 | 15% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1049.3 has a 52.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).