Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (63 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 71
Defender wins (Chinese): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 973 | 66% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 973 | 66% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1128 | 988 | 69% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1102 | 899 | 76% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 931 | 1152 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 888 | 980 | 37% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 992 | 995 | 50% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1210 | 33% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1155 | 969 | 74% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 919 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 964 | 55% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1132 | 47% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 996 | 991 | 51% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 932 | 80% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 1004 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 990 | 707 | 84% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 970 | 1251 | 17% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 906 | 60% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1155 | 885 | 83% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 921 | 1071 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1210 | 983 | 79% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-05-09 | Won |
| 1045 | 992 | 58% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1131 | 45% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1019 | 1099 | 39% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 936 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 969 | 938 | 54% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1002 | 67% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1263 | 57% | 2007-07-11 | Lost |
| 997 | 1026 | 46% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 1136 | 51% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1128 | 1096 | 55% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 983 | 956 | 54% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2005-07-29 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1215 | 30% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 992 | 1269 | 17% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1263 | 34% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 913 | 60% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1140 | 36% | 1998-08-24 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1997-12-24 | Won |
| 1026 | 953 | 60% | 1997-11-15 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1011 | 66% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 969 | 1088 | 34% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1176 | 1113 | 59% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1045.7 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).