Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 282 (39 on the archive and 243 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 126
Defender wins (American / British): 156
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 948 | 53% | 2026-05-03 | | Lost |
| 893 | 1198 | 15% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 1017 | 74% | 2024-06-21 | | Won |
| 1198 | 1000 | 76% | 2024-06-20 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2024-04-08 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2024-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 940 | 61% | 2023-09-08 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2022-12-21 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2021-09-29 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-09-05 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-03-25 | | Won |
| 1159 | 808 | 88% | 2021-02-04 | | Won |
| 1006 | 967 | 56% | 2020-12-24 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1097 | 25% | 2020-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 1126 | 68% | 2020-02-29 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-01-17 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1002 | 45% | 2016-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-07-03 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2013-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2009-07-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2009-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2006-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2004-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2001-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-11-10 | | Won |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1999-01-16 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 1997-01-16 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1156 | 42% | 1995-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1993-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 1991-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 832 | 81% | | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1024.4 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).