Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1021 | 76% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 1244 | 46% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1018 | 54% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 987 | 55% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1024 | 46% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1170 | 820 | 88% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1007 | 890 | 66% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 920 | 1070 | 30% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1220 | 953 | 82% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 988 | 1059 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 905 | 1005 | 36% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1024 | 66% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1170 | 31% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-11-10 | Won |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1999-01-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 978 | 74% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1102 | 1159 | 42% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 939 | 1101 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 833 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1044.9 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).