Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 1213 | 14% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1213 | 970 | 80% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1213 | 1244 | 46% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1192 | 1192 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 994 | 1042 | 43% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1129 | 859 | 83% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 882 | 67% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 917 | 1116 | 24% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1015 | 80% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 931 | 1058 | 32% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 908 | 1001 | 37% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 931 | 1012 | 39% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1098 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1046 | 61% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1011 | 73% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1129 | 36% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1119 | 977 | 69% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 1119 | 55% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 934 | 1098 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 983 | 944 | 56% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 844 | 86% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1044.9 has a 51.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).