King's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (5 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2022-12-04 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-12-14 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 832 | 86% | 2003-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1994-09-25 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1036.6 has a 55.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).