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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (11 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1241 | 32% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
| 1017 | 959 | 58% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 748 | 1086 | 13% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1264 | 959 | 85% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 897 | 69% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
| 1041 | 885 | 71% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 866 | 73% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1131 | 37% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 994.9 has a 56.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).