Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 31
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2026-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1202 | 26% | 2026-06-14 | D | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2021-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2021-09-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2020-05-28 | | Won |
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-01-01 | | Won |
| 961 | 1242 | 17% | 2014-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2002-05-27 | | Won |
| 1029 | 892 | 69% | 2001-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-02-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1069.8 has a 43.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).