Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 983 | 55% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1155 | 42% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 986 | 925 | 59% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 918 | 975 | 42% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 975 | 852 | 67% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1017.4 vs 993.7 has a 53.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).