Bogged Down
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (9 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-01-01 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-04-17 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-12-11 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-05-16 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1101 | 60% | 2012-10-01 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1150 | 52% | 2002-06-19 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2001-07-24 | | Won |
| 919 | 1086 | 28% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 981.2 vs 1026.9 has a 43.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).