Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (9 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1071 | 39% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 992 | 1071 | 39% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 950 | 1014 | 41% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1138 | 50% | 1997-08-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 984 | 55% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1078.2 has a 46.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).