Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (9 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1015 | 45% | 2016-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1997-08-15 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 1995-05-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1995-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1014.2 vs 1064.4 has a 42.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).