Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (15 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1054 | 57% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 957 | 1204 | 19% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1204 | 1051 | 71% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1098 | 45% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 973 | 945 | 54% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1151 | 46% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1109 | 52% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 1065 | 56% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 1151 | 891 | 82% | 2002-10-07 | Won |
| 967 | 1003 | 45% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1077.2 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).