Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1071 | 994 | 61% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1126 | 49% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1084 | 30% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1069 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1069.8 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).