Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 1003 | 65% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1113 | 56% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 943 | 968 | 46% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1051 | 53% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1043.7 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).