Carnage in the Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1032 | 46% | 2026-06-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1059 | 50% | 2025-03-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 980 | 55% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-01-13 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1073.1 has a 46.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).