Chapelle Ste. Anne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (19 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 58
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2024-11-07 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2023-03-22 | | Won |
| 1056 | 818 | 80% | 2022-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2021-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-05-09 | | Won |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2016-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2008-05-10 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2004-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1169 | 30% | 2004-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1029 | 65% | 2001-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2001-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2001-02-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-12-14 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1997-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1044.9 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).