Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Romanian): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 936 | 59% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1129 | 1030 | 64% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1173 | 812 | 89% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1009 | 59% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 977 | 68% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 931 | 954 | 47% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1043 | 61% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 981 | 837 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 935 | 74% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 890 | 889 | 50% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1116 | 1054 | 59% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1029 | 51% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 1100 | 37% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1049 | 982 | 60% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1094 | 33% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1154 | 25% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 867 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 1227 | 22% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 1001 | 1141 | 31% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 1113 | 38% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1082 | 43% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1276 | 15% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 996 | 1119 | 33% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1273 | 1030 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1037.8 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).