Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 42
Defender wins (American): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 961 | 61% | 2023-03-26 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2017-12-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2017-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1000 | 75% | 2010-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1188 | 25% | 2009-11-07 | | Tied |
| 889 | 989 | 36% | 2005-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2004-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1090 | 43% | 2001-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2001-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1162 | 1000 | 72% | 1994-06-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1018.1 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).