Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (Japanese): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1030 | 1151 | 33% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1129 | 29% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1079.7 has a 45.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).