The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (12 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 941 | 75% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1110 | 50% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1109 | 1099 | 51% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1034 | 1103 | 40% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1293 | 18% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1095 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1110 | 60% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1103 | 1037 | 59% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1000 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1079.8 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).