The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 919 | 78% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1116 | 47% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1112 | 50% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 982 | 66% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1151 | 33% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1098 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1110 | 53% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1102 | 1069 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081.8 vs 1066.1 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).