The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (15 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 940 | 75% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1070 | 54% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 1048 | 38% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1134 | 45% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1108 | 1135 | 46% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-05-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
| 1343 | 1021 | 86% | 2001-06-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1096 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1110 | 56% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1105 | 1003 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1110.4 vs 1076.8 has a 54.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).