The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (13 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 941 | 75% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1058 | 56% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1134 | 47% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1256 | 54% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
| 1056 | 1095 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1110 | 63% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1104 | 1027 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1092.5 vs 1090.6 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).