Half a Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1121 | 49% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1264 | 19% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2015-09-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1148 | 47% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2012-10-12 | Lost |
| 946 | 1241 | 15% | 2000-08-15 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1241 | 25% | 2000-06-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1998-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 1080 | 31% | 1991-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1081.4 has a 42.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).