A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 65
Defender wins (British): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-03-04 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1013 | 41% | 2022-03-02 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2019-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2019-03-31 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1131 | 71% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-07-28 | | Won |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2014-07-25 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-06-19 | | Won |
| 976 | 1242 | 18% | 2002-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2002-04-29 | | Won |
| 1097 | 827 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2000-03-20 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1997-03-26 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1995-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 1990-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1009.3 has a 59.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).