The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (17 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (Italian): 91
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 963 | 57% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1124 | 43% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 931 | 62% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1151 | 33% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1145 | 72% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 927 | 1007 | 39% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1056 | 43% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1037 | 1091 | 42% | 2010-05-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 919 | 63% | 2008-08-27 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1055 | 52% | 2003-02-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 1991-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1025.1 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).