Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (British): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 941 | 81% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1158 | 1117 | 56% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1024 | 63% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1012 | 980 | 55% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1041 | 65% | 2015-06-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1023 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | Lost |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2012-07-06 | Lost |
| 918 | 918 | 50% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1198 | 39% | 1995-07-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1032.5 has a 56.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).