Blazin' Chariots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (64 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 40
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 1025 | 50% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 908 | 928 | 47% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 881 | 881 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 1082 | 46% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 951 | 987 | 45% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-12-02 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2018-12-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1068 | 41% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 951 | 73% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2017-10-30 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1068 | 82% | 2016-09-19 | Lost |
| 1023 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
| 1068 | 979 | 63% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 979 | 1068 | 37% | 2016-01-18 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 886 | 927 | 44% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 942 | 71% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-11-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2012-09-08 | Won |
| 1112 | 1020 | 63% | 2011-11-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2011-05-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 949 | 63% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1081 | 59% | 2010-06-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2010-03-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1068 | 52% | 2009-06-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1084 | 48% | 2009-06-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1068 | 52% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 974 | 59% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 974 | 59% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1068 | 34% | 2008-01-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 950 | 66% | 2008-01-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1035 | 55% | 2006-05-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 1068 | 45% | 2006-04-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 1068 | 29% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2006-04-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2005-12-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1046 | 47% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2004-12-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1068 | 50% | 2004-07-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 987 | 69% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 2000-07-03 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2000-06-23 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 1999-08-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1056 | 37% | 1998-05-29 | Won |
| 1028 | 872 | 71% | 1997-11-19 | Lost |
| 1156 | 919 | 80% | 1993-04-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 1991-02-02 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1022.2 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).