The Cossacks Are Coming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Croatian / German): 9
Defender wins (Partisan): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 952 | 64% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 950 | 76% | 2018-06-30 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 992 | 959 | 55% | 2009-08-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2009-05-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1006 | 66% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2004-03-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2004-02-29 | Won |
| 831 | 1177 | 12% | 2002-08-17 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1068 | 46% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 1177 | 1118 | 58% | 1995-06-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 984 | 58% | 1992-12-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 1038 | 42% | 1991-05-04 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1023.2 has a 53.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).