Sylvan Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (17 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Partisan): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 939 | 53% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1012 | 931 | 61% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1094 | 37% | 2017-01-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 961 | 58% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 910 | 931 | 47% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 951 | 54% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 975 | 56% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1026 | 1069 | 44% | 2011-04-12 | Won |
| 931 | 977 | 43% | 2010-02-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1098 | 43% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1060 | 44% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1110 | 1129 | 47% | 1994-10-22 | Won |
| 1163 | 844 | 86% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1027.6 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).