Among the Ruins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 230 (33 on the archive and 197 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 122
Defender wins (German): 107
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1014 | 37% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1199 | 46% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 1094 | 45% | 2017-03-28 | Won |
| 1065 | 976 | 63% | 2016-09-11 | Won |
| 1122 | 986 | 69% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 897 | 69% | 2016-03-11 | Won |
| 906 | 987 | 39% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2015-03-22 | Won |
| 1199 | 1054 | 70% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 973 | 1015 | 44% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 921 | 951 | 46% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
| 987 | 977 | 51% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 977 | 73% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 2011-04-06 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1044 | 54% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-31 | Won |
| 977 | 920 | 58% | 2008-12-16 | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1051 | 1310 | 18% | 2006-02-27 | Tied |
| 1098 | 978 | 67% | 2005-07-09 | Won |
| 1122 | 1034 | 62% | 2004-04-03 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2004-03-07 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1003 | 82% | 2003-09-24 | Won |
| 1241 | 847 | 91% | 2003-01-24 | Won |
| 1043 | 1044 | 50% | 2002-03-15 | Won |
| 1128 | 1092 | 55% | 2000-09-09 | Won |
| 1241 | 1110 | 68% | 1994-08-22 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1063.8 vs 1021.8 has a 56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).