The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 859 | 83% | 2024-01-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1015 | 82% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 931 | 62% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 926 | 973 | 43% | 2018-04-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 982 | 66% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1048 | 956 | 63% | 2015-10-01 | Won |
| 1038 | 1016 | 53% | 2015-01-22 | Lost |
| 1048 | 956 | 63% | 2014-10-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 836 | 83% | 2013-09-24 | Won |
| 951 | 974 | 47% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2012-01-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1015 | 50% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2004-06-16 | Lost |
| 911 | 1129 | 22% | 1993-04-20 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 1992-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 994.9 has a 55.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).