Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2021-06-02 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2020-11-13 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2020-11-13 | | Lost |
| 803 | 1150 | 12% | 2020-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 957 | 75% | 2020-09-13 | | Won |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2018-05-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-04-02 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-12-23 | | Won |
| 1134 | 972 | 72% | 2013-09-05 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1058 | 64% | 2012-12-15 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2009-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2007-01-12 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2006-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2004-10-01 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2003-06-03 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2000-11-03 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1994-04-12 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1024.1 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).