Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 987 | 52% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 824 | 1198 | 10% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1198 | 952 | 80% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1010 | 52% | 2018-04-02 | Won |
| 951 | 958 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 941 | 66% | 2013-09-05 | Won |
| 1154 | 1081 | 60% | 2012-12-15 | Won |
| 1042 | 1082 | 44% | 2012-02-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1019 | 51% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 959 | 1091 | 32% | 2006-06-02 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1076 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2003-06-03 | Lost |
| 974 | 1039 | 41% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1198 | 881 | 86% | 1994-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1028.7 vs 1027.7 has a 50.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).