Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (34 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 69
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 909 | 81% | 2026-07-11 | Won |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2026-01-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2023-03-21 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 937 | 951 | 48% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 944 | 1068 | 33% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1025 | 951 | 60% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1216 | 958 | 82% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 992 | 974 | 53% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1233 | 51% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 960 | 53% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1079 | 66% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1079 | 984 | 63% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1070 | 975 | 63% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 995 | 44% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1107 | 942 | 72% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 835 | 986 | 30% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
| 957 | 1118 | 28% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1070 | 977 | 63% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1084 | 49% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
| 1076 | 881 | 75% | 1994-04-30 | Lost |
| 955 | 984 | 46% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1025.6 has a 54.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).