Brush Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (7 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 1020 | 27% | 2026-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 897 | 69% | 2026-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-06-29 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2026-05-28 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 837 | 75% | 2026-04-30 | | Won |
| 1284 | 728 | 96% | 2026-04-13 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 926 has a 69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).