A Royal Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2026-09-27 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2026-01-29 | | Tied |
| 1069 | 921 | 70% | 2025-12-23 | | Lost |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2025-11-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 997.8 vs 1034.8 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).