Wilia River Showdown
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 4
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1159 | 25% | 2026-08-19 | | Won |
| 967 | 1159 | 25% | 2026-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2026-08-18 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-11-29 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1009.8 vs 1047 has a 44.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).