Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 997 | 75% | 2025-12-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1002 | 57% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2025-09-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 940 | 61% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1249 | 1170 | 61% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1166 | 28% | 2025-08-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1019 | 71% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 906 | 71% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 958 | 66% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1100.2 vs 1017.2 has a 61.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).