Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (9 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 970 | 81% | 2025-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1011 | 56% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2025-09-15 | Won |
| 999 | 940 | 58% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1220 | 1161 | 58% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 1226 | 19% | 2025-08-13 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1089 | 55% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1020 | 914 | 65% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 949 | 68% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.2 vs 1022.1 has a 60.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).