Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (22 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 29
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2026-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2026-07-19 | D | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2026-07-15 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1027 | 49% | 2026-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2026-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2026-03-23 | | Won |
| 905 | 1150 | 20% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1283 | 16% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2026-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2026-03-13 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2026-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 897 | 69% | 2026-03-06 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2026-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2026-01-07 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1154 | 28% | 2025-12-14 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1086 | 58% | 2025-10-10 | | Won |
| 1162 | 890 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1055 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).