Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 1200 | 47% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1140 | 50% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 975 | 1045 | 40% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1029 | 64% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 878 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1088 vs 1046.4 has a 55.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).