Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 28
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2026-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2026-07-19 | D | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2026-07-15 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 976 | 1021 | 44% | 2026-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2026-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2026-03-23 | | Won |
| 915 | 1152 | 20% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2026-03-13 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2026-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 942 | 63% | 2026-03-06 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2026-01-31 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-01-07 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-12-14 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1070 | 60% | 2025-10-10 | | Won |
| 1162 | 890 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1050.6 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).