Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1154 | 1133 | 53% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 939 | 67% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 1003 | 50% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1152 | 875 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1093.3 vs 987.5 has a 64.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).